Skip to content

Prophetia · Today's letter

November 5, 2026 edition

Binance under pressure, Bitcoin resilient: a fragile lull in crypto markets

Abstract illustration showing luminous orange and blue curves rising on a dark grid, surrounded by broken geometric shapes evoking a market shock and high volatility, symbolizing the resilience of bitcoin and ether prices.

Bitcoin

€71,340

+3.22% over 24h

Ethereum

€2,148

+5.49% over 24h

EUR/USD rate

1.127

In this edition · 6

Editorial

The session of November 5, 2026 opens on a crypto market attempting to stabilize after the largest theft in the sector's history. Despite the security breach at Binance, an amount estimated at about 5,6 milliards € (6,3 milliards $), the price of bitcoin holds above 71 000 €, supported by a broad rebound in risk assets and a still uncertain macro environment. This resilience nevertheless masks deep tensions. The Binance episode reactivates questions of infrastructure risk concentration and dependence on a few large platforms. At the same time, South Korea is once again considering postponing its crypto capital gains tax, illustrating states' difficulties in stabilizing a credible tax framework without stifling innovation. For European investors, the upcoming ECB meeting at the end of November and the last FOMC of the year in December will be major milestones: the path of interest rates will continue to condition appetite for digital assets. In this context, Devcon 8 in Mumbai highlights a striking contrast: while regulation and security remain open workstreams, the Ethereum ecosystem continues its technical and community expansion. This edition aims to document these main trends, without extrapolating beyond established facts.

Markets

Bitcoin and Ether sustain their rebound above 71 000 € and 2 100 € despite the Binance shock

Bitcoin and ether remain at high levels on November 5, 2026, despite a major security incident at Binance that could have triggered a sharp correction. This resilience highlights increased risk tolerance and a market structure dominated by Bitcoin but supported by appetite for major altcoins.

As of November 5, 2026, around 06:57 (UTC+5:45), bitcoin is trading around 71 460 € (approximately 80 518 $, at an exchange rate of 1 € = 1,127 $), up about 4.7 % over 24 hours, according to market aggregators. Ether climbed roughly 7.0 % over the same period to 2 146 € (2 419,75 $), outperforming bitcoin. This rebound comes as the market is still digesting a major security shock at Binance, underscoring the counterintuitive nature of the rise in the two leading digital assets.

Closing data for November 4, 2026 show bitcoin finishing the day at around 71 360 € (80 399 $), after an intraday low near 67 150 € (75 712 € converted from 75 712 $, i.e. approximately 67 150 €) and a high around 71 770 € (80 905 $). This range reflects high volatility, but the maintenance of prices near intraday highs at the close suggests buyers remained present despite counterparty concerns linked to the Binance shock.

Total crypto market capitalization reaches about 2.39 trillion € (2.70 trillion $, converted at the same rate of 1 € = 1,127 $) on November 5, 2026, up roughly 4.7 % over 24 hours. Bitcoin dominance remains high, near 59.6 %, confirming its central role as a reference asset. In this context, ether’s stronger performance can be interpreted as a gradual return of appetite for assets viewed as riskier, while remaining concentrated in large caps.

Several market summaries link bitcoin’s rise above 71 000 € in early November to a broader rebound in risk assets after the U.S. midterm elections, alongside a rally in U.S. equities. This move comes despite the lack of clear progress on a federal bill structuring the crypto market. The combination of an extreme security shock on a major platform like Binance and continued price increases highlights a more institutionalized market, yet still vulnerable to operational and regulatory risks.

Security

After the record theft at Binance, a large-scale stress test for the crypto ecosystem

Less than a week after the diversion of about 5,6 milliards € of assets, Binance faces massive withdrawals, deploys its own capital and relies on stablecoin issuers to contain the shock. The affair questions the technical and financial resilience of the largest centralized platforms.

The rest is for subscribers

Upgrade to Plus or Pro to read the full edition every morning: every article, its sources and the archives.

See the plans

Regulation

South Korea: Ruling Party Pushes for Fourth Postponement of Crypto Tax

The South Korean Democratic Party wants to delay the introduction of the tax on crypto-asset gains by two years, to January 2029; the tax has already been postponed three times since 2020. The government and market participants remain divided amid technical and regulatory uncertainties.

The rest is for subscribersSee the plans

Adoption

Bond tokenisation: Schroders brings an emerging markets debt fund to Solana

On 4 November 2026, Schroders announced the tokenisation of an emerging markets bond fund on the public Solana blockchain. This initiative by a systemic manager marks an expansion of tokenisation beyond cash-like products toward more complex credit assets.

The rest is for subscribersSee the plans

Macro

Fed, ECB: decisive meetings watched closely by crypto markets at the end of 2026

As the Fed meets in December and the ECB at the end of November, the path of policy rates remains at the center of crypto investors' attention. In a context of high volatility and a market capitalization around 2,39 billions €, every monetary policy signal can weigh on market sentiment.

The rest is for subscribersSee the plans

Technology

Devcon 8 in Mumbai: Ethereum looks beyond the market cycle

From November 3 to 6, 2026, Devcon 8 brings together the global Ethereum developer community at the Jio World Center in Mumbai. On the agenda: scalability, security and user experience, far from the sole prism of market prices.

The rest is for subscribersSee the plans

Coming up

  • 3–6 November 2026 – Devcon 8 (Ethereum) in Mumbai, the annual Ethereum community conference at the Jio World Center, as the ecosystem discusses upcoming protocol and L2 developments.
  • 25 November 2026 – Monetary policy meeting of the ECB Governing Council in Frankfurt, followed by a press conference, with an expected impact on risk appetite, including crypto-assets in the euro area.
  • End of November 2026 – Window mentioned by South Korean policymakers to decide on a possible postponement of the tax on gains from crypto-assets, as part of the work of the National Assembly's tax subcommittee.
  • 8–9 December 2026 – Last FOMC meeting of 2026 in Washington; the Fed has indicated that the decision could keep open the possibility of an additional rate hike, a key factor for flows into digital assets.